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Unpacking Affective Polarization in Afghanistan: Ethnic Politics, Elite Competition, and Online Divisive Content
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2024), 25 pp.
"Affective polarization has been a persistent feature of Afghanistan’s society and politics in the past decades. However, with the instantaneous collapse of the republic’s government and the return of the Taliban, the country has witnessed heightened affective polarization along ethnic and ideol
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Digital Warfare and Peace: Learning from Ukraine’s Response to the Russian Invasion
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2023), 15 pp.
"Before launching a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Russia had maintained a low-scale war with Ukraine since early 2014. That conflict, which culminated in the annexation of the Crimean peninsula and the ongoing Donbas war, received less international attention than the 2022 ful
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Social Media Activism for Civilian Supremacy in Myanmar and Pakistan
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2023), 14 pp.
"In Myanmar and Pakistan, anti-democratic forces including an alliance of military and right-wing political factions are dominating political affairs despite both countries’ constitutions defining democratic processes. Consequently, the authoritarian rule has been looming in these countries. The a
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Counter Recruiting in the Online Gaming Community
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2023), 9 pp.
"Organisations ranging from violent extremist groups to the US Army have used online gaming, a popular form of entertainment among the world’s youth, for recruiting purposes. To date, efforts to curtail online recruiting have been siloed to reduce recruitment of certain groups, such as violent ext
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Exploring Disinformation in Fragile States: Iraq as a Case Study of Influence of International Political Actors
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2023), 18 pp.
"This paper examines the influence of international political actors in perpetuating disinformation in fragile states, using Iraq as a case study. The advent of modern technology and social media has transformed the global information landscape, providing new avenues for the dissemination of disinfo
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The Digital Battlefield: The Taliban’s Case of Co-opting Social Media for Warfare and Governance
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2023), 20 pp.
"This paper delves into the paramount significance of social media in contemporary warfare, shedding light on the critical need for effective measures to counter online radical narratives and prevent the spread of violent extremism. It explores how autocratic and repressive groups like the Taliban e
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How Big Data Can Bolster Autocratic Legitimacy (Via the Rhetoric of Safety and Convenience)
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2022), 14 pp.
"This Policy Brief examines the different ways in which big data collection serves autocratic agendas by hiding the oppressive potential of heightened surveillance through promises of enhanced safety, convenience, and modernisation. Political actors with autocratic agendas can package their governan
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Kazakhstan’s Bloody January: Digital Repression on the “New Silk Road”
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2022), 24 pp.
"In January 2022, Kazakhstan’s government shut down internet access for several days while enacting a violent crackdown on initially peaceful protests triggered by hikes in fuel prices. This policy brief examines Kazakhstan’s internet and media landscape, the (re)actions of civil society and the
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"This report highlights an emerging and continuously developing Chinese state information capability in Solomon Islands. That capability can be deployed to support the CCP’s objectives, which include undermining Solomon Islands’ existing relationships with foreign partners, particularly Australi
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Comparing Guidance for Tech Companies in Fragile and Conflict-Affected Situations
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute; JustPeace Labs (2022), 44 pp.
"This research report explores the strengths and weaknesses of four different frameworks tech companies, governments, and civil society can use to assess harms and benefits of new technologies. The four frameworks include human rights, conflict sensitivity, ethics, and human security. The research m
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Media and Democratic Backsliding: Lessons from the Turkish Case
Athens; Berlin: Hellenic Foundation for European & Foreign Policy (ELIAMEP); Centre for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) (2022), 7 pp.
"In Turkey, the AKP came to power in 2002 at a time marked by a relatively pro-European Union and pluralistic outlook in politics. The democratic backsliding in Turkey has been more obvious since 2007 and the start of the AKP’s second term in power. It deepened especially after the 2016 coup attem
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From Airtable to Zoom: An A-to-Z Guide to Digital Tech and Activism 2021
Deep Insights
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2021), 18 pp.
"This policy brief maps how activists are using technology to pursue public interests in human rights, democracy and a livable environment. It begins with a look at how cell phone tech has upped the outreach and mobilising game for campaigns, dives into digital storytelling and fundraising, explores
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"This report explores how the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) uses foreign social media influencers to shape and push messages domestically and internationally about Xinjiang that are aligned with its own preferred narratives. Our research has found key instances in which Chinese state entities have s
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Cognitive-Affective Mapping and Digital Peacebuilding
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2021), 15 pp.
"Ideologies play a fundamental role in the emergence, escalation and resolution of conflict by underpinning divergent narratives and worldviews. These ideologies are often developed and sustained through a combination of interrelated and deeply-held core beliefs, values and emotions which have been
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Conflict and Social Media: Activism of Civil Society for Peace Between India-Pakistan
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2020), 15 pp.
"This policy brief examines the work of civil society activists struggling for peace by using social media around the world. Drawing from extensive field research, as well as the social media actions of activists and civil society members of India, Pakistan and beyond, this brief explains how the so
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The Role of Social Media in Fomenting Violence: Myanmar
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2020), 20 pp.
"Myanmar was originally portrayed as an internet success story. Connected in a matter of months after five decades of military dictatorship, Myanmar people were supposed to be able to communicate freely, access unimpeded information online, experience the benefits of a range of compelling and empowe
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25 Spheres of Digital Peacebuilding and PeaceTech
Deep Insights
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute; Alliance for Peacebuilding (2020), 28 pp.
"This report outlines twenty-fives spheres where technology can contribute to peacebuilding goals and describes five generations of thinking related to the evolution of technology’s impact on peacebuilding. Digital peacebuilding contributes to democratic deliberation, violence prevention, social c
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Social Media Impacts on Conflict Dynamics: A Synthesis of Ten Case Studies & A Peacebuilding Plan for Tech
Deep Insights
Tokyo: Toda Peace Institute (2020), 21 pp.
"Social media’s relationship with violent conflict is complex; there is no simple cause-effect relationship. These ten case studies indicate that there are a variety of factors at play that im-pact how social media affects conflict dynamics. This report documents an array of observable patterns as
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